lucky729
0x49da99e23a2166507abe15ac93d2e2e91ea6bfd0
- Realised P&L
- $-505.41
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $467.10 | +$0.37 |
| Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs OldMix - Map 1 Winner · XI Esport | 0.999 | 1.000 | $248.88 | +$0.12 |
| Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Group C · XI Esport | 0.999 | 1.000 | $244.88 | +$0.12 |
| Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs OldMix - Map 2 Winner · XI Esport | 0.999 | 1.000 | $219.70 | +$0.11 |
| Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Chaos Enforcers - Map 2 Winner · Chaos Enforcers | 0.999 | 0.996 | $44.80 | −$0.16 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on September 28? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Play-In · Bushido Wildcats | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.990Rainbow Six Siege: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.57at 0.999W35 Baza: Olga Parres Azcoitia vs Stefaniya Pushkar
- +$1.50at 0.998Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 27?
- +$1.03at 0.999Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #10 Play-In
- +$1.01at 0.999Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:14 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $25.50 |
| 09-28 14:04 | Overwatch: MURASH GAMING vs ENTER FORCE.36 (BO5) - OCS Japan Stage 3 Group Stage | BUY | 0.999 | $14.79 |
| 09-28 13:51 | Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs OldMix - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 09-28 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.28 |
| 09-27 22:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 21:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-27 20:55 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 20:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.87 |
| 09-27 20:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.83 |
| 09-27 20:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $134.87 |
| 09-27 18:50 | Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Chaos Enforcers - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $6.07 |
| 09-27 18:50 | Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Chaos Enforcers - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 09-27 18:50 | Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Chaos Enforcers - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 09-27 18:50 | Counter-Strike: PARTIZAN vs Chaos Enforcers - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 09-27 18:35 | Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Noir Verse - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $74.03 |