0x49d9d549a2711c9ab5705a6bc320a5466717d032
- Realised P&L
- $-23.30
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 597
- Open portfolio
- $26.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded597
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.50at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?
- +$32.01at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 13?
- +$22.61at 0.143Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 2?
- +$21.91at 0.238Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?
- +$19.39at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 12:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 08-07 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4699997906 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4399998606 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3899998533 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.92 |
| 08-07 09:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.4299997956 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3499998094 | $1.01 |
| 08-06 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.286 | $8.58 |
| 08-06 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4499998441 | $1.01 |
| 08-06 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3899998533 | $1.01 |
| 08-06 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.3399998048 | $1.01 |
| 08-06 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.45 |