mxshshknb
0x49cd831b969fdaadbe775a2b30f9ad0a303c666a
- Realised P&L
- $40.52
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $5.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.83at 0.647Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$20.77at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$12.76at 0.268Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$9.99at 0.718Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$7.11at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:44 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 10:12 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.6919999812 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 23:19 | US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 09-04 19:49 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 19:46 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.3499998717 | $1.50 |
| 09-04 11:22 | US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 11:22 | US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirstea | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 07:42 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.64 | $45.00 |
| 09-01 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 20:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $1.04 |