Oddur13
0x49cca829dd8891ee227e9d96e80524490e444f90
- Realised P&L
- $-117.46
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $44.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.310 | $31.18 | −$8.82 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.335 | $8.38 | −$1.63 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.745 | $4.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$179.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.10at 0.802Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$24.25at 0.706Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$9.20at 0.919Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
- +$7.76at 0.943Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
- +$2.16at 0.214U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:19 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.3977101836 | $40.00 |
| 10-14 14:18 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 14:07 | Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October? | SELL | 0.1695454545 | $3.73 |
| 10-08 14:07 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $17.20 |
| 10-07 19:03 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 10-07 05:23 | U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027? | SELL | 0.748 | $29.92 |
| 06-15 16:01 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.9099999976 | $179.88 |
| 06-14 17:12 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.9855471058 | $180.14 |
| 06-14 16:56 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.9409999999 | $172.00 |
| 06-11 19:46 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.7975060756 | $137.60 |
| 06-11 19:41 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.86 | $138.95 |
| 06-09 14:55 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6999999988 | $113.10 |
| 03-21 14:55 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $29.95 |
| 03-21 14:52 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.95 |