PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Oddur13

0x49cca829dd8891ee227e9d96e80524490e444f90

Realised P&L
$-117.46
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$44.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.3980.310$31.18−$8.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.4000.335$8.38−$1.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.8100.745$4.60−$0.40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$179.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 14:19Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.8099999741$5.00
10-14 14:19Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.3977101836$40.00
10-14 14:18Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.4$10.00
10-08 14:07Will Seattle have less than 1.75 inches of precipitation in October?SELL0.1695454545$3.73
10-08 14:07Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.43$17.20
10-07 19:03Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.57$11.40
10-07 05:23U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?SELL0.748$29.92
06-15 16:01Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.9099999976$179.88
06-14 17:12Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?SELL0.9855471058$180.14
06-14 16:56Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.9409999999$172.00
06-11 19:46Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.7975060756$137.60
06-11 19:41Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL0.86$138.95
06-09 14:55Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6999999988$113.10
03-21 14:55Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?BUY0.9199999988$29.95
03-21 14:52Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?SELL0.999$29.95