0x49cc099a07c58bF18CE348e6879EBdF3cCf66166-1773174880226
0x49cc099a07c58bf18ce348e6879ebdf3ccf66166
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $31.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $53.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.525 | $53.80 | +$9.51 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in August? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.60 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down | 0.136 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Down | 0.457 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.48at 0.368Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?
- +$28.21at 0.392Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$15.19at 0.507Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?
- +$7.79at 0.539Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
- +$5.45at 0.540Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.4321933898 | $44.29 |
| 10-13 01:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.63 | $90.07 |
| 10-13 00:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.4899999994 | $70.06 |
| 10-07 14:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.08 | $49.27 |
| 10-06 01:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.25 |
| 10-05 22:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.5699999317 | $2.17 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.5589343949 | $340.94 |
| 10-05 21:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | SELL | 0.59 | $363.53 |
| 10-05 17:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.5499999991 | $90.05 |
| 10-05 01:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.6799998954 | $1.30 |
| 10-05 01:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $306.35 |
| 10-05 01:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | SELL | 0.48 | $326.40 |
| 10-03 06:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.3499999851 | $2.35 |
| 10-03 04:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.3517643417 | $236.84 |
| 10-03 04:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | SELL | 0.48 | $295.82 |