0x49CbcA398B6abF3fb26D2Ef06ce9300b16cFfD4c-1790102050744
0x49cbca398b6abf3fb26d2ef06ce9300b16cffd4c
- Realised P&L
- $-352.56
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $184.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.24at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 30?
- +$1.91at 0.582Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?
- +$1.91at 0.606Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 27?
- +$1.90at 0.622Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?
- +$1.89at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.15 |
| 10-01 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.56 |
| 10-01 15:10 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:52 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.67 |
| 10-01 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.53 |
| 10-01 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.91 |
| 10-01 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.91 |
| 10-01 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.27 |
| 10-01 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.28 |
| 10-01 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.33 |
| 10-01 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.74 |
| 10-01 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |