PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x49CbcA398B6abF3fb26D2Ef06ce9300b16cFfD4c-1790102050744

0x49cbca398b6abf3fb26d2ef06ce9300b16cffd4c

Realised P&L
$-352.56
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$184.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 16:10Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 1?SELL0.26$1.15
10-01 15:13Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 1?SELL0.68$1.56
10-01 15:10Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-01 14:53Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-01 14:52Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-01 14:22Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
10-01 14:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 1?SELL0.99$2.67
10-01 14:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 1?SELL0.99$2.53
10-01 13:46Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?SELL0.99$2.91
10-01 13:20Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 1?SELL0.99$2.91
10-01 12:54Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 1?SELL0.4$1.27
10-01 12:10Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?SELL0.38$1.28
10-01 12:09Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 1?SELL0.14$1.33
10-01 11:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 1?SELL0.99$2.74
10-01 11:54Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?SELL0.001$0.00