Melvinator667
0x49c45176f1ae6b1db5b496387558e82f21ed4cf2
- Realised P&L
- $-9.77
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 222
- Open portfolio
- $47.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded222
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.17at 0.710Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$16.16at 0.738Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee?
- +$13.91at 0.594Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$11.82at 0.720ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Veljko Krstic vs Andrea De Marchi
- +$11.25at 0.730Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 11:25 | Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova | SELL | 0.62 | $1.88 |
| 09-23 11:18 | St. Tropez: Daniil Glinka vs Ugo Blanchet | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:16 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.5833023575 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 11:14 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6599999921 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 11:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $1.36 |
| 09-23 11:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $1.28 |
| 09-23 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $1.53 |
| 09-23 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:04 | Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:00 | Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:58 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |