Melvinator667
0x49c45176f1ae6b1db5b496387558e82f21ed4cf2
- Realised P&L
- $81.44
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $136.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.17at 0.710Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
- +$12.25at 0.710ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Veljko Krstic vs Andrea De Marchi
- +$11.67at 0.720Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges
- +$10.59at 0.092Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva
- +$8.17at 0.300National Bank Open: Nicolas Mejia vs Martin Landaluce
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:04 | ITF Fano: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Tobia Grandinetti | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:02 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowski | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:55 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:52 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka | BUY | 0.7959999331 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:46 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka | BUY | 0.2196924051 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka | BUY | 0.0869999272 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:34 | Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:34 | Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.097823901 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:33 | Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:33 | Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 12:32 | Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.0959999833 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:27 | Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia Costoulas | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 12:25 | Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara Yaneva | BUY | 0.0589999464 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:07 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.9199999975 | $15.00 |