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Traders

Melvinator667

0x49c45176f1ae6b1db5b496387558e82f21ed4cf2

Realised P&L
$81.44
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$136.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Joy Powers be the VA-09 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.7300.785$48.39+$3.39
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.7770.838$37.73+$2.73
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.8000.875$27.33+$2.33
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5360.535$9.99$0.01
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves0.5300.510$1.92$0.08
ITF Fano: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Tobia Grandinetti · Tobia Grandinetti0.0800.150$1.88+$0.88
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5600.795$1.42+$0.42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1600.175$1.09+$0.09
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4500.455$1.01+$0.01
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2130.213$1.00+$0.00
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? · Yes0.8800.875$0.99$0.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8500.825$0.97$0.03
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes0.7000.675$0.96$0.04
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95$0.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6000.485$0.81$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:04ITF Fano: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Tobia GrandinettiBUY0.08$1.00
08-04 15:02Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf PieczkowskiBUY0.02$1.00
08-04 12:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.849999915$1.00
08-04 12:55Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.16$1.00
08-04 12:52Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya KumasakaBUY0.7959999331$1.00
08-04 12:46Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya KumasakaBUY0.2196924051$5.00
08-04 12:42Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya KumasakaBUY0.0869999272$1.00
08-04 12:34Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara YanevaBUY0.0479999551$1.00
08-04 12:34Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara YanevaBUY0.097823901$5.00
08-04 12:33Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara YanevaBUY0.0989999118$1.00
08-04 12:33Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara YanevaBUY0.16$0.80
08-04 12:32Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara YanevaBUY0.0959999833$5.00
08-04 12:27Warsaw: Gabriela Knutson vs Sofia CostoulasBUY0.3899998908$2.00
08-04 12:25Warsaw: Linda Klimovicova vs Elizara YanevaBUY0.0589999464$1.00
08-03 16:07Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.9199999975$15.00