0x49c1625bac16f0d9f2cc2318ffa3093fa2cfa924
0x49c1625bac16f0d9f2cc2318ffa3093fa2cfa924
- Realised P&L
- $-629.20
- Volume
- $15.1k
- Markets traded
- 377
- Open portfolio
- $90.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded377
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LD Alajuelense vs. CS Herediano: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.520 | 1.000 | $57.66 | +$27.66 |
| LD Alajuelense vs. CS Herediano: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.882 | 1.000 | $32.98 | +$3.88 |
| LD Alajuelense vs. CS Herediano: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.508 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.67at 0.574Will Bitcoin dip to $65,500 on March 8?
- +$32.29at 0.482TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
- +$31.11at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down on March 9?
- +$29.85at 0.502Philadelphia Union vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5
- +$20.69at 0.593Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:52 | LD Alajuelense vs. CS Herediano: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.504 | $3.04 |
| 10-15 02:26 | LD Alajuelense vs. CS Herediano: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.882 | $29.11 |
| 10-14 22:18 | CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-14 22:18 | CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-14 22:18 | CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-14 22:18 | CA Mineiro vs. Montevideo City Torque: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $18.08 |
| 10-14 15:14 | PFC Nasaf vs. Al Wahda FC (UAE): O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4099999919 | $11.13 |
| 10-14 15:13 | PFC Nasaf vs. Al Wahda FC (UAE): O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5899999948 | $29.34 |
| 10-14 00:54 | CA Boca Juniors vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 10-13 17:25 | Exact Score: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary 1 - 1 El Gouna SC? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.22 |
| 10-13 17:24 | Exact Score: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary 1 - 1 El Gouna SC? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.13 |
| 10-11 15:35 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $29.43 |
| 10-11 11:52 | FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $26.80 |
| 10-11 01:21 | Philadelphia Union vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $26.57 |
| 09-25 21:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $0.37 |