werkingjab
0x49bf8d8a9c56fbe8530de70001fece1c9f1650f3
- Realised P&L
- $-16.3k
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $31.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-42.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.37 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 2? · No | 0.995 | 0.999 | $3.38 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $3.13 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 2? · No | 0.995 | 0.989 | $3.11 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $2.36 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $1.66 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 2? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.27 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on October 2? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $1.27 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-16.3kat 0.930Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.66 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.27 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.13 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 71°F or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.37 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on October 2? | BUY | 0.9979992865 | $1.27 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.13 |
| 10-01 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.37 |
| 10-01 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $3.37 |
| 10-01 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:12 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.7k |
| 10-01 13:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.1k |