PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pasteroni

0x49b8961f30d438c00560c2225944cce8d46723a9

Realised P&L
$-166.59
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$4.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$2.08$5.62
Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0160.004$1.35$3.45
Will Hyperliquid reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.095$0.93+$0.34
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$27.78
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$5.02
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1 · Gen.G Esports0.0200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.40
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$1.45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$2.68
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$24.44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$1.91
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 16:47Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.007$2.70
06-02 16:47Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.002$0.80
05-16 14:49Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.005$5.00
05-16 14:46Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.051$19.13
05-11 10:30Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.18$1.80
05-11 10:01Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.053$6.63
05-11 09:56Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.054$27.00
05-11 09:55Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.126$3.78
05-07 13:23Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.146$4.38
04-05 12:27Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.07$0.95
04-05 12:27Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.1$1.37
04-05 12:27Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.15$2.06
04-05 12:26Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.17$2.34
04-05 12:26Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.17$2.34
03-27 15:54US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.18$6.30