chelsea-sucks
0x49b6695811b7c12e02c0eac1f51175a9f00d6e80
- Realised P&L
- $15.59
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $167.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.947 | 0.950 | $63.08 | +$0.20 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-07 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.960 | $52.77 | +$0.52 |
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No | 0.985 | 0.970 | $51.41 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.930Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$1.98at 0.961Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
- +$1.96at 0.970US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.90at 0.920Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
- +$1.60at 0.956Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 06:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.95 |
| 04-29 07:21 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.998 | $24.28 |
| 04-14 10:15 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.9199999753 | $22.39 |