PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KarlvonLupo

0x49b61cb366989fb73c3f9ebcad735e19a049a8ab

Realised P&L
$333.23
Volume
$86.9k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.8270.885$1.9k+$121.98
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.8830.999$1.1k+$123.70
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9590.992$539.22+$17.47
Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes0.0600.055$302.17−$27.47
Will Slovan Liberec be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)? · No0.9100.970$79.53+$4.92
Will Slavia Prague be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)? · No0.9110.963$68.36+$3.67
Will Beşiktaş be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig? · No0.9200.963$58.71+$2.59
Will Sparta Prague be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)? · No0.9500.965$48.25+$0.75
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7200.977$3.49+$0.92
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? · Yes0.4170.030$3.39−$43.79
Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$25.00
Will NEC win on 2026-10-15? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$10.19
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$140.00
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-08-08? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$20.02
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-29? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00−$20.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 07:37Will Beşiktaş be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.92$56.12
09-27 08:53Will Slovan Liberec be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?BUY0.91$74.61
09-17 20:23Will Slavia Prague be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?BUY0.9$45.90
09-15 14:00Will Slavia Prague be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?BUY0.94$18.79
09-15 13:57Will Sparta Prague be relegated from the 2026-27 Chance Liga (Czechia)?BUY0.95$47.50
08-10 15:46Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-08-10?BUY0.12$20.04
08-08 14:01Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.27$1.35
08-08 13:59Will Oldham Athletic AFC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.13$20.15
08-08 13:48Will Shrewsbury Town FC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.16$19.68
08-08 13:46Will Huddersfield Town AFC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.34$19.38
08-08 13:46Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.2198406593$20.01
08-08 13:44Will Accrington Stanley FC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.23$20.93
08-08 11:45Will Barnet FC win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.25$20.00
08-06 15:06Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?BUY0.29$9.86
08-06 15:04Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?BUY0.3$10.20