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Traders

VarunaGroyp

0x49ab536996aa896d5bd79063f10bf576a86cb629

Realised P&L
$760.80
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$46.23

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.2000.195$9.75−$0.25
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4600.435$9.46−$0.54
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.0720.090$7.51+$1.51
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0800.115$7.19+$2.19
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%? · Yes0.1700.135$6.19−$1.61
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? · Yes0.0100.008$1.60−$0.40
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0270.013$1.37−$1.63
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0170.006$1.15−$1.85
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0460.011$0.75−$2.25
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0650.015$0.67−$2.33
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0190.005$0.59−$1.41
Will Marcelo Aro win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$6.45
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00−$42.00
Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 21:19Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0187928091$2.00
10-30 21:19Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0649999988$3.00
10-30 21:13Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?BUY0.01$2.00
10-30 21:11Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.0273081924$3.00
10-30 21:10Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.0458622603$3.00
10-30 21:10Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.08$5.00
10-30 21:07Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.0169316525$3.00
10-30 16:16Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.459999988$10.00
10-25 22:41Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?SELL0.8138885288$25.12
10-25 19:53Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?BUY0.21$21.00
10-25 19:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BUY0.2099999995$22.00
10-25 01:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?BUY0.3099999954$20.00
10-25 01:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?BUY0.32$50.00
10-25 01:21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?BUY0.179551122$20.00
10-25 01:18Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%?BUY0.0041832253$1.00