VarunaGroyp
0x49ab536996aa896d5bd79063f10bf576a86cb629
- Realised P&L
- $760.80
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $46.23
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.17at 0.043Will Jose Medeiros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
- +$147.42at 0.027Will Evair de Melo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- +$132.74at 0.279Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?
- +$131.96at 0.100Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?
- +$115.46at 0.018Will Carlos Portinho win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 21:19 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0187928091 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 21:19 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0649999988 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 21:13 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 21:11 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0273081924 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 21:10 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0458622603 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 21:10 | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 21:07 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.0169316525 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 16:16 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 22:41 | Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.8138885288 | $25.12 |
| 10-25 19:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 10-25 19:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $22.00 |
| 10-25 01:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 01:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 01:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%? | BUY | 0.179551122 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 01:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–12%? | BUY | 0.0041832253 | $1.00 |