PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

uhoh1

0x49a8c6ea1146a69b299cf7d5be3a63b366937153

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$613.5k
Markets traded
162
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded162
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No0.8700.885$442.50+$7.50
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9300.974$309.20+$13.82
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7400.470$188.00−$108.00
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8000.810$143.11+$1.77
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5440.285$114.00−$103.56
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.155$77.50+$12.50
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.1100.972$65.73+$58.29
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6800.345$52.93−$51.40
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.5590.065$23.13−$175.94
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? · Yes0.6750.055$10.05−$113.30
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.6600.470$0.94−$0.38
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? · No0.0590.000$0.00−$10.68
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00−$91.13
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$90.00
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 11:16Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8$141.34
06-12 11:133Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.93$295.39
06-12 11:10Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.059$10.68
06-12 11:03Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.49$49.00
06-12 11:00Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5BUY0.52$239.20
06-12 10:53Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.31$35.47
06-12 10:53Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.35$105.00
06-06 13:21Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0703729167$33.78
04-09 11:49US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.998$294.41
03-16 15:37Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?BUY0.09$89.70
03-16 15:30Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.1643058859$77.24
03-08 20:23Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.74$296.00
03-05 15:22Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.68$272.00
03-05 15:21Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.543889$217.56
03-05 15:19Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.997$540.00