serhii69
0x49a0866504c5a5c354016cd2919add8c1ce429ac
- Realised P&L
- $-358.12
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $201.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.855 | 0.935 | $109.36 | +$9.36 |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.820 | 0.825 | $50.30 | +$0.30 |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.350 | 0.365 | $41.71 | +$1.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.68at 0.530Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
- +$85.19at 0.540Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
- +$81.82at 0.550Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
- +$76.86at 0.510Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score
- +$70.59at 0.680Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 09:28 | CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 09:26 | CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3499999952 | $40.00 |
| 07-14 10:49 | France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 15:03 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5399999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 13:28 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 15:13 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 15:10 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 09:22 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 09:57 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 15:33 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 12:53 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.64 | $49.23 |
| 06-30 12:20 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |
| 06-30 08:43 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 12:45 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 09:58 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.6799999995 | $150.00 |