0x499b89e57be9bc1b31400f511472ba60a41a45d7
- Realised P&L
- $-61.66
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $40.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.020 | $21.26 | +$5.89 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.162 | $15.77 | −$9.23 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $2.76 | −$0.61 |
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.009 | $1.13 | −$10.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.77at 0.550Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-5.40at 0.057US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
- +$-99.67at 0.063Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 00:01 | Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | BUY | 0.0899999934 | $12.00 |
| 07-04 23:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999902 | $5.37 |
| 07-04 23:55 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0109999967 | $3.37 |
| 07-04 23:54 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0144563582 | $15.37 |
| 07-04 23:53 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.256 | $25.00 |
| 07-04 23:51 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5399999963 | $64.55 |
| 07-04 23:40 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999994 | $96.47 |