PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x49971A08cB4e94DB837ADeB0A1DB8a535Bb7b994-1778176519482

0x49971a08cb4e94db837adeb0a1db8a535bb7b994

Realised P&L
$-7.25
Volume
$239.61
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$11.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29? · Yes0.5420.530$11.72−$0.28
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 16:15Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.5425311411$12.00
05-30 06:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30?SELL0.1644631186$3.52
05-30 06:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?SELL0.4$5.69
05-30 04:52Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?BUY0.4215685909$6.00
05-30 04:52Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30?BUY0.279999972$6.00
05-20 12:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
05-20 10:24Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?SELL0.27$4.50
05-20 10:24Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?SELL0.35$4.60
05-20 10:18Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?BUY0.29999997$5.00
05-20 10:17Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
05-18 05:51Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETBUY0.1799998704$1.00
05-18 05:46Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETBUY0.29999982$1.00
05-18 05:41Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.2299998275$1.00
05-18 05:37Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.2199998548$1.00
05-17 23:54Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?SELL0.999$3.33