0x49971A08cB4e94DB837ADeB0A1DB8a535Bb7b994-1778176519482
0x49971a08cb4e94db837adeb0a1db8a535bb7b994
- Realised P&L
- $-7.25
- Volume
- $239.61
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $11.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29? · Yes | 0.542 | 0.530 | $11.72 | −$0.28 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Up | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.14at 0.413Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?
- +$2.29at 0.310Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?
- +$-0.65at 0.434Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30?
- +$-0.83at 0.310Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?
- +$-2.06at 0.426Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5425311411 | $12.00 |
| 05-30 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30? | SELL | 0.1644631186 | $3.52 |
| 05-30 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.69 |
| 05-30 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 30? | BUY | 0.4215685909 | $6.00 |
| 05-30 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 30? | BUY | 0.279999972 | $6.00 |
| 05-20 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 05-20 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.50 |
| 05-20 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20? | SELL | 0.35 | $4.60 |
| 05-20 10:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 05-20 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 05:51 | Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 05:46 | Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 05:41 | Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 05:37 | Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.33 |