PolyBot

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Traders

0x499708456C4d6f4c8413e8B1B44ffA81B83De928-1770813824372

0x499708456c4d6f4c8413e8b1b44ffa81b83de928

Realised P&L
$-245.57
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$41.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6690.161$23.98$76.02
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.065$17.61$23.02
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$22.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.2550.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.2010.000$0.00$36.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.1800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 22:22Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.2546024227$25.00
05-12 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.1899999944$25.00
05-12 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.1799999755$5.00
05-02 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.1956680633$16.81
05-02 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.206060996$20.00
04-02 13:22Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.08$8.68
04-02 12:57Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.1$8.70
04-02 12:53Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.059999989$4.32
04-02 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.1180939445$4.37
04-02 12:41Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.2899999846$8.98
04-01 12:02US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.005$0.50
03-31 10:53Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.0899999919$8.69
03-30 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.13$1.29
03-28 23:07Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?SELL0.3009716667$95.71
03-28 05:56Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2380863807$40.00