ddkkooww
0x4996bce9d0fa7cb013255acb0c010518f82fcc1b
- Realised P&L
- $1.92
- Volume
- $729.08
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $11.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.69 | −$0.01 |
| Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.09at 0.990Will "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
- +$0.32at 0.997Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.21at 0.998Will "Star Search" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
- +$0.10at 0.999Will "Queen of Chess" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.08at 0.999US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.9989999754 | $11.70 |
| 08-27 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or below on August 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.30 |
| 08-09 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10? | BUY | 0.9989999692 | $12.60 |
| 07-29 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 07-12 01:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on July 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.80 |
| 07-03 07:06 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $6.30 |
| 06-22 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.997999939 | $14.50 |
| 05-27 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 28? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.10 |
| 05-18 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 04-21 02:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on April 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.10 |
| 04-01 01:50 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.9989999904 | $75.20 |
| 03-20 03:21 | Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 42.0 on March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.50 |
| 03-10 03:24 | Will "Nuremberg" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.00 |
| 03-01 04:14 | Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $105.00 |
| 02-10 03:41 | Will "Queen of Chess" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.999 | $95.00 |