PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fdsgsdgdsgs

0x49938b954e0694d718d06c48c893a84dd1ddbead

Realised P&L
$-108.71
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$30.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.320$19.20−$11.40
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2300.029$11.40−$80.60
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$24.00
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 22:30Will Claude Sonnet 5.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.0047727597$5.09
09-27 21:09Will Claude Sonnet 5.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $10 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1675$26.80
09-11 23:14Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?SELL0.002$0.40
09-11 23:14Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.001$0.28
09-11 23:13Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.01024995$2.05
09-09 19:38Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?SELL0.001$0.29
09-09 14:28Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$64.00
09-09 00:55Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.02$10.50
09-05 19:21Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.04$1.00
09-05 19:19Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?BUY0.54$22.00
09-05 17:50Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?BUY0.055$15.95
09-05 17:38Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?BUY0.38$4.94
09-04 14:32Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?BUY0.29$5.80
Trader fdsgsdgdsgs · PolyBot Pro