PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lpardo

0x4993721237795118c036f374efba0cbe92612e40

Realised P&L
$0.61
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$6.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.4090.066$6.41$33.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.4160.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET · Down0.5260.000$0.00$2.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.5480.000$0.00$98.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Down0.6090.000$0.00$8.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Up0.5350.000$0.00$30.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Up0.6140.000$0.00$26.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00$113.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.5850.000$0.00$27.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET · Down0.5870.000$0.00$5.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.6040.000$0.00$88.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.3420.000$0.00$22.69
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-07? · Yes0.8360.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Down0.5960.000$0.00$6.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 11:50Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.2099999669$4.31
05-25 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.529999965$5.00
04-25 17:08Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.7899999966$6.79
04-04 19:09Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.2299999975$66.77
04-03 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETSELL0.87$36.48
04-03 14:06Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.7$28.70
03-30 18:34Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?BUY0.4090000042$40.00
03-26 19:56Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?SELL0.999$4.18
03-26 17:53Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?BUY0.5799999236$2.43
03-25 18:14Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY0.9699999951$2.00
03-24 11:35Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.6299999988$104.09
03-24 11:32Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.5499999993$38.77
03-24 10:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.4399999975$48.48
03-24 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETSELL0.99$152.63
03-24 09:30Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETBUY0.64$97.35