lpardo
0x4993721237795118c036f374efba0cbe92612e40
- Realised P&L
- $0.61
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $6.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.36at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$136.63at 0.564Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$122.85at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$112.77at 0.470Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
- +$94.67at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 11:50 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999669 | $4.31 |
| 05-25 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 04-25 17:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999966 | $6.79 |
| 04-04 19:09 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $66.77 |
| 04-03 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $36.48 |
| 04-03 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $28.70 |
| 03-30 18:34 | Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4090000042 | $40.00 |
| 03-26 19:56 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.18 |
| 03-26 17:53 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.5799999236 | $2.43 |
| 03-25 18:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 03-24 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999988 | $104.09 |
| 03-24 11:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $38.77 |
| 03-24 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $48.48 |
| 03-24 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $152.63 |
| 03-24 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $97.35 |