wolzx
0x4990cf53050a48461e41c93e69f032d62d56d6e0
- Realised P&L
- $-20.12
- Volume
- $530.02
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $7.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.105 | $7.64 | −$1.36 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.006 | $0.10 | −$2.90 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.002 | $0.04 | −$3.34 |
| Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.002 | $0.03 | −$4.97 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Over/Under 19%? · Over | 0.550 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$10.99 |
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.96at 0.270Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$0.98at 0.008Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:08 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-13 15:56 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.90 |
| 09-07 18:03 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.3699999687 | $3.07 |
| 09-07 16:20 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 15:54 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 08:07 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0079121749 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 13:55 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.1765571241 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 13:45 | Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |