renminshi
0x498ef446600d668bfc58bb7ab4f2e75c9ec40b1d
- Realised P&L
- $-432.90
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $46.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.00at 0.180Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-11?
- +$78.84at 0.810Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?
- +$58.70at 0.870Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)
- +$43.71at 0.744Will Solana reach $210 in May?
- +$29.61at 0.810Clippers vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 21:55 | Will Forest Green Rovers FC vs. Brackley Town FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.22 | $195.09 |
| 03-29 05:24 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.98 |
| 03-07 01:03 | Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-11? | BUY | 0.18 | $49.39 |
| 02-18 15:17 | Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 20? | BUY | 0.011 | $2.40 |
| 02-18 13:44 | TCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars (W) | BUY | 0.036 | $4.18 |
| 02-18 05:27 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 80 and 90? | BUY | 0.033 | $8.77 |
| 02-17 20:14 | Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20? | BUY | 0.036 | $8.13 |
| 02-17 09:04 | Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 18? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.09 |
| 02-16 09:28 | Will Marcus Flowers win the GA-14 special election? | BUY | 0.027 | $5.02 |
| 02-15 00:04 | Will "Homefront" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.26 |
| 02-10 05:19 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 13? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.39 |
| 02-09 07:31 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.13 |
| 01-23 02:49 | UCLA Bruins vs. Northwestern Wildcats (W) | BUY | 0.022 | $3.47 |
| 01-07 07:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10? | BUY | 0.049 | $6.66 |
| 01-07 04:36 | Will England win? | BUY | 0.091 | $19.41 |