PolyBot

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Traders

0x498d2...

0x498d2c229b37bf35116281bddbe484d7e1b6ddd4

Realised P&L
$898.31
Volume
$270.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$79.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:47Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.11$2.8k
10-31 22:08Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.109992$2.7k
10-31 20:49Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.11$5.5k
10-31 18:58Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.3391597896$2.5k
10-31 18:57Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.328$146.16
10-31 18:28Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.14$14.0k
10-31 11:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?BUY0.91$1.8k
10-31 11:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.53855408$8.1k
10-31 11:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.3974683$2.0k
10-31 11:20Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.14$21.0k
10-29 12:09Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3$1.5k
10-29 09:03Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.002$1.76
10-27 19:37Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.302222454$637.45
10-27 00:23Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.84$504.00
10-27 00:02Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.8996462732$354.97