RedGhost
0x498c1cfe07e19fa703c86c829216bdd7c2fdc0c0
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $314.4k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $984.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.464Bulls vs. Heat
- +$2.8kat 0.440Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.3kat 0.460Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$1.1kat 0.750Trail Blazers vs. Celtics
- +$1.1kat 0.770LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 07:34 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0049595413 | $22.81 |
| 04-29 23:39 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.9714978889 | $262.30 |
| 04-23 03:03 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6936087375 | $612.84 |
| 04-23 02:46 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.275020395 | $272.93 |
| 03-18 02:27 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.26617853 | $266.18 |
| 03-18 02:19 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3154545455 | $34.70 |
| 03-17 07:44 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1876608241 | $178.16 |
| 03-17 06:43 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.18 | $199.80 |
| 03-16 23:50 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.17 | $371.81 |
| 03-16 23:49 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1702777925 | $566.60 |
| 03-06 11:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | BUY | 0.993 | $2.1k |
| 03-04 08:07 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.0k |
| 03-04 08:06 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.991 | $2.7k |
| 03-04 07:39 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.992 | $836.18 |
| 03-04 07:39 | Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.9k |