PolyBot

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Traders

RedGhost

0x498c1cfe07e19fa703c86c829216bdd7c2fdc0c0

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$314.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$984.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1900.849$848.62+$658.82
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6960.135$135.00$560.51
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2900.865$1.22+$0.81
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$33.00
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season · Shifters0.6800.000$0.00$91.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.03
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0230.000$0.00$2.30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$0.17
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$22.81
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No0.6100.000$0.00$244.00
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Invictus Gaming0.5900.000$0.00$2.2k
Spurs vs. Rockets · Rockets0.5700.000$0.00$202.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 07:34Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0049595413$22.81
04-29 23:39Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.9714978889$262.30
04-23 03:03Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6936087375$612.84
04-23 02:46Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.275020395$272.93
03-18 02:27Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.26617853$266.18
03-18 02:19Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.3154545455$34.70
03-17 07:44Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.1876608241$178.16
03-17 06:43Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.18$199.80
03-16 23:50Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.17$371.81
03-16 23:49Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.1702777925$566.60
03-06 11:01Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY0.993$2.1k
03-04 08:07Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.99$2.0k
03-04 08:06Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.991$2.7k
03-04 07:39Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.992$836.18
03-04 07:39Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.992$1.9k