PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shawnclaudevandamme

0x498b2ce98e427dcb1d90b595a1ffbc3b5ce407b5

Realised P&L
$-109.22
Volume
$21.2k
Markets traded
2,205
Open portfolio
$12.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,205
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.4200.752$11.03+$4.87
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? · Yes0.0130.005$0.86$1.35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? · Yes0.0550.004$0.14$1.76
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 19? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$0.60
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 10? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 16? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 12? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 5? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$3.50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$5.80
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 5? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$2.50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 20? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 14? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 06:22Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.0554293678$1.90
09-20 06:08Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.02$0.22
09-20 06:06Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.01$1.45
09-20 06:06Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?BUY0.0323529412$0.55
09-20 03:44Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.4199999905$6.16
09-19 08:00Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?SELL0.06$0.94
09-19 07:58Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?BUY0.5599999382$2.90
09-19 07:58Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?BUY0.5599999317$2.95
09-19 07:57Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?BUY0.4899999498$2.54
09-19 07:51Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.92$4.59
09-19 07:51Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.9137095337$4.59
09-19 07:49Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19?SELL0.8409154275$18.10
09-19 07:49Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.7699999747$3.95
09-19 06:17Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 19?BUY0.1950505912$1.60
09-19 06:16Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.7299999903$7.50