shawnclaudevandamme
0x498b2ce98e427dcb1d90b595a1ffbc3b5ce407b5
- Realised P&L
- $-109.22
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,205
- Open portfolio
- $12.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,205
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.48at 0.441Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$27.61at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$24.78at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$20.40at 0.618Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$20.24at 0.505Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0554293678 | $1.90 |
| 09-20 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.22 |
| 09-20 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.45 |
| 09-20 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0323529412 | $0.55 |
| 09-20 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4199999905 | $6.16 |
| 09-19 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.94 |
| 09-19 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5599999382 | $2.90 |
| 09-19 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5599999317 | $2.95 |
| 09-19 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4899999498 | $2.54 |
| 09-19 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.59 |
| 09-19 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9137095337 | $4.59 |
| 09-19 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.8409154275 | $18.10 |
| 09-19 07:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7699999747 | $3.95 |
| 09-19 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1950505912 | $1.60 |
| 09-19 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7299999903 | $7.50 |