shawnclaudevandamme
0x498b2ce98e427dcb1d90b595a1ffbc3b5ce407b5
- Realised P&L
- $11.94
- Volume
- $7.8k
- Markets traded
- 568
- Open portfolio
- $75.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded568
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.41at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$17.03at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$16.99at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 12?
- +$15.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$12.45at 0.774Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:46 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-02 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.47 |
| 08-02 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 14:09 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in June? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-09 14:08 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June? | BUY | 0.286 | $1.43 |
| 06-01 18:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 05-14 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.07 |
| 05-10 17:40 | Sabres vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 21:46 | Celtics vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.71 | $19.11 |
| 04-14 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 15? | BUY | 0.973 | $4.47 |
| 04-14 10:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.97 |
| 04-14 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.99 |
| 04-14 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 15? | BUY | 0.939 | $4.97 |
| 04-14 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.96 |
| 04-13 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 13? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.33 |