clokdhg
0x498afec43d9f234c833f589196f248253b516765
- Realised P&L
- $1.72
- Volume
- $240.36
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $10.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $10.46 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.966Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.63at 0.969Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.07at 0.997Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.50 |
| 09-13 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.997999991 | $11.70 |
| 08-19 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $11.50 |
| 08-06 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.50 |
| 07-27 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.30 |
| 07-10 02:55 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 41.0 on July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $9.30 |
| 06-30 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.10 |
| 06-15 01:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.70 |
| 05-25 01:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on May 26? | BUY | 0.9979999765 | $19.10 |
| 05-13 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.21 |
| 04-19 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on April 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.60 |
| 03-22 13:02 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $22.20 |
| 03-07 07:12 | Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9659999987 | $21.50 |
| 02-28 05:25 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.60 |
| 02-10 14:29 | Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.9689999578 | $19.60 |