PolyBot

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Traders

revanchist

0x498abb90c40df06537c614dc97f78935317a5e7b

Realised P&L
$-8.1k
Volume
$163.6k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5160.405$4.1k$1.1k
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · No0.6460.930$1.9k+$567.91
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? · No0.1530.000$0.00$236.47
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$239.84
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$641.83
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$397.87
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.4380.000$0.00$8.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 14:53Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL0.120312$300.78
06-24 14:52Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL0.114926792$287.32
06-24 14:50Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL0.1308568494$330.02
06-24 02:18Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.011$110.00
06-24 02:11Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL0.172431812$1.7k
05-20 16:24Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?SELL0.0025612387$2.82
05-20 16:23Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.36$98.35
05-20 16:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.237$115.05
05-20 16:21Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?SELL0.7657047188$123.49
05-20 16:19Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?SELL0.001$1.50
05-20 16:17Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.037334591$373.35
05-20 16:16Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.95$142.50
05-17 04:15Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.48$960.00
05-17 04:14Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.48$960.00
05-17 04:07Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?BUY0.11106653$555.33