0x4985C5D0BA9fe739F13B57912D38357684b5Df6C-1758014045649
0x4985c5d0ba9fe739f13b57912d38357684b5df6c
- Realised P&L
- $-385.33
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $19.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.026 | $19.16 | −$74.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$333.33 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will TikTok be banned in 2025? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference? · No | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2025? · No | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 06:57 | Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.76 |
| 03-20 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $1.99 |
| 12-19 13:20 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:41 | Doge ETF approved in 2025? | BUY | 0.0479999968 | $14.00 |
| 09-16 15:00 | Will TikTok be banned in 2025? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:57 | Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference? | BUY | 0.0270000002 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 14:57 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0559999949 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 14:56 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |