0xK97fY12hgH688VbGC785
0x497ce2733761929682d80c6ada68b5c806e4d54e
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $807.0k
- Markets traded
- 416
- Open portfolio
- $828.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded416
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.278 | $554.99 | +$415.00 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.009 | $253.79 | −$238.03 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $20.00 | −$60.00 |
| MLS: Will LA Galaxy beat Houston? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.54 |
| MLS: Will Toronto beat Philadelphia? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.81 |
| Cubs vs. Cardinals · Cubs | 0.535 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$216.80 |
| Pirates vs. Brewers · Pirates | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$635.00 |
| Marlins vs. Braves · Marlins | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.00 |
| MLS: Will Houston beat LA Galaxy? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.94 |
| UFC Fight Night: Fili vs. Rodriguez · Rodriguez | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$345.00 |
| Royals vs. Twins · Twins | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.23 |
| Padres vs. Giants · Giants | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$215.00 |
| Rays vs. Mariners · Rays | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$370.00 |
| UFC Fight Night: Brundage vs. McConico · Brundage | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.00 |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.406Dodgers vs. Reds
- +$2.6kat 0.394Braves vs. Reds
- +$2.1kat 0.310Mariners vs. Tigers
- +$1.6kat 0.539Red Sox vs. Twins
- +$1.6kat 0.360Twins vs. Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 03:16 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | SELL | 0.04 | $80.00 |
| 08-14 04:29 | Dodgers vs. Angels | BUY | 0.34 | $102.00 |
| 08-14 00:46 | Mariners vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.4048566 | $202.43 |
| 08-13 17:20 | Rockies vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.34 | $5.15 |
| 08-13 17:11 | Pirates vs. Brewers | BUY | 0.32 | $160.00 |
| 08-13 14:40 | Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0099495381 | $595.32 |
| 08-11 01:24 | Cubs vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.56 | $112.00 |
| 08-10 16:24 | Rays vs. Mariners | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 08-10 16:24 | Rays vs. Mariners | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 08-10 16:23 | Rays vs. Mariners | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 08-10 12:03 | Marlins vs. Braves | BUY | 0.45 | $225.00 |
| 08-09 23:21 | UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Cachoeira | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 08-09 22:55 | Reds vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.46 | $57.87 |
| 08-09 22:54 | Reds vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 08-09 22:45 | UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. Stoliarenko | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |