PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x497B4c6496845Dc10E1Fa57AEaE2bd0C9980717E-1772220119566

0x497b4c6496845dc10e1fa57aeae2bd0c9980717e

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$422.9k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5660.875$3.9k+$1.4k
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3730.850$627.24+$351.65
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1100.295$536.36+$336.37
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3220.049$68.54$386.03
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · No0.5200.790$60.78+$20.78
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? · Up0.7770.905$34.96+$4.96
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3860.045$4.02$30.48
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$400.00
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$22.30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.1280.000$0.00$10.00
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$18.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 16:11Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.5656025308$2.5k
06-17 18:34Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.4799999983$100.00
06-16 21:20Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.2450980392$5.00
06-16 15:04Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6699999998$500.00
06-15 23:07Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6699999998$500.00
06-13 23:25Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.36$496.55
06-13 01:04Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5799999997$800.00
06-10 18:01Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6999999995$300.00
06-08 23:17Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.2288557135$20.00
06-08 23:15Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6899999997$500.00
06-02 22:37Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.008991977$8.30
05-27 23:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?SELL0.7546188124$2.2k
05-24 14:04Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.37$372.23
05-21 15:47Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?SELL0.19$760.00
05-19 18:12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.1099999995$200.00