PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x495DE7bB43A262cb5458A5C555de6a7973feB73b-1771791588214

0x495de7bb43a262cb5458a5c555de6a7973feb73b

Realised P&L
$4.15
Volume
$390.11
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$56.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.480$24.00−$1.50
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4300.330$16.50−$5.00
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31? · Yes0.8000.815$16.30+$0.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.5580.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-22 22:24Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.7899999921$1.00
02-22 22:05Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETSELL0.99$2.16
02-22 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.9299999907$1.00
02-22 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.9$1.00
02-22 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSELL0.99$1.26
02-22 21:59Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.78$0.99
02-22 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.92$1.00
02-22 21:08Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.55$0.97
02-22 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSELL0.999$7.82
02-22 20:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.99$5.00
02-22 20:47Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.71$1.96