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MarcianoTech

0x495b69ab274086ede11af9e222d51563ca8a47b6

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$30.2k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$228.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8970.455$101.92$99.08
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.4340.445$68.36+$1.66
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3570.181$50.65$49.35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5100.215$4.22$5.78
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0130.004$3.06$6.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00$5.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$86.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 20:25Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?BUY0.96$1.00
08-06 20:24Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8970151773$200.00
07-02 23:29Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.86$86.00
07-02 23:19Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.59$59.00
07-02 13:43Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.36$7.20
06-20 01:36Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.4234367075$10.00
06-20 01:34Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?SELL0.963$98.23
06-20 01:30Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
06-03 00:23Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
06-03 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.2399999674$5.00
06-02 01:09Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSELL0.98$25.78
06-02 01:06Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.1899999726$5.00
06-02 01:04Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSELL0.800374415$10.26
06-02 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
05-22 23:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSELL0.06$3.05