0x4956E2a25aBF2A332FDf31d6a4c506Fc8833742B-1778356257722
0x4956e2a25abf2a332fdf31d6a4c506fc8833742b
- Realised P&L
- $-111.19
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $12.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.75at 0.286Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?
- +$11.56at 0.306Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
- +$10.56at 0.367Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$9.96at 0.604Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?
- +$8.77at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 03:32 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:31 | Will Barbados win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:31 | Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:31 | Will Grenada win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:30 | Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:29 | Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.0636363625 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 12:29 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:24 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 20:23 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.54 |
| 09-16 20:22 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.25 |
| 09-16 18:41 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.659999934 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 18:40 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |