PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4956E2a25aBF2A332FDf31d6a4c506Fc8833742B-1778356257722

0x4956e2a25abf2a332fdf31d6a4c506fc8833742b

Realised P&L
$-111.19
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$12.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4620.579$3.76+$0.76
Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.5500.585$3.19+$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? · No0.7401.000$2.70+$0.70
Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.5300.515$0.97−$0.03
Will Grenada win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.3500.315$0.90−$0.10
Will Barbados win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.3100.270$0.87−$0.13
Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.001$0.00−$1.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5350.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$4.00
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire · PortlandFire0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 03:32Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-24 03:31Will Barbados win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-24 03:31Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-24 03:31Will Grenada win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-24 03:30Will Haiti vs. Trinidad and Tobago end in a draw?BUY0.25$1.00
09-24 03:29Will Honduras win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.549999945$2.00
09-23 16:38Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.0636363625$1.00
09-23 16:36Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-20 12:29Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-19 13:24Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.6199998946$2.00
09-19 13:23Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5799999768$2.00
09-16 20:23Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?SELL0.34$1.54
09-16 20:22Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.75$4.25
09-16 18:41Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.659999934$3.00
09-16 18:40Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.5299999399$3.00