PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

botetete

0x4952feec2f814433405eac5ee72d5cb80eb7d9b0

Realised P&L
$-54.19
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$0.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 9? · Yes0.2300.047$0.23−$0.91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 18? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 9? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00−$14.57
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on June 6? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on June 1? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.23
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 9? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on May 16? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$5.44
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 8? · Yes0.2830.000$0.00−$8.06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 18? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00−$7.51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 17? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$0.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11?BUY0.2$1.60
06-10 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11?BUY0.2$1.60
06-10 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11?BUY0.2$1.60
06-10 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 11?BUY0.2$1.60
06-10 04:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?BUY0.3499998959$1.85
06-08 09:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 9?BUY0.2599998921$1.35
06-08 09:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 9?BUY0.2599999206$2.16
06-08 05:30Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 9?BUY0.2999999531$3.20
06-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9?BUY0.1699999161$1.52
06-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9?BUY0.1677376687$1.52
06-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9?BUY0.16$1.52
06-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9?BUY0.16$1.52
06-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9?BUY0.16$1.52
06-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 9?BUY0.16$1.52
06-07 12:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 8?BUY0.1221538565$1.04