PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rocketman1989

0x495165eafef9fddfc64296f479df44fefeea42e3

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$79.6k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$44.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.4200.380$44.81$4.72
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$15.60
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24? · No0.6100.000$0.00$121.87
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25? · No0.1900.000$0.00$19.00
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · No0.8300.000$0.00$170.53
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11? · No0.2000.000$0.00$58.92
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$98.75
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.2790.000$0.00$111.45
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$97.50
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? · No0.9580.000$0.00$13.69
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · No0.2520.000$0.00$5.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 17:58Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.65$97.50
06-14 09:27Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.945$203.17
06-11 16:20Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.7$105.00
06-08 11:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?BUY0.194$13.77
05-31 18:05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.29$29.00
05-15 08:57Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.981$294.30
05-15 08:40Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.952$71.40
05-15 08:37Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.958$13.69
05-09 18:03Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?SELL0.98$137.20
05-09 14:40Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?BUY0.71$99.40
04-25 15:43Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.84112$41.66
04-07 19:39Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?SELL0.6$240.00
03-28 18:44Spurs vs. BucksBUY0.07$14.00
03-25 15:19Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.42$97.81
03-24 12:25Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.76$76.00