Domador
0x49499acaca96885bf497a05c0db75e4bda42d3b8
- Realised P&L
- $13.6k
- Volume
- $303.0k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No | 0.740 | 0.745 | $3.7k | +$24.50 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No | 0.640 | 0.655 | $3.3k | +$75.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out? · Yes | 0.685 | 0.690 | $37.40 | +$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.639US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.558US military action against Iran before August?
- +$2.1kat 0.590US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$816.00at 0.900 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
- +$786.20at 0.812Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 04:26 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.2k |
| 10-23 05:01 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.2699999992 | $14.00 |
| 05-01 20:41 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $3.7k |
| 05-01 20:41 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $228.60 |
| 05-01 03:36 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.0k |
| 04-27 04:08 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.3k |
| 04-27 04:08 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $111.02 |
| 04-22 02:31 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.6k |
| 04-02 01:52 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.1k |
| 04-02 01:52 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $355.95 |
| 03-29 06:31 | US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $2.4k |
| 03-29 06:30 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.9457761094 | $2.4k |
| 03-17 06:10 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $181.65 |
| 03-17 06:10 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $180.60 |
| 03-14 06:58 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $20.99 |