Cryptophile
0x493832b2aa23507302810e519bc49da754e1ce0c
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $93.4k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $882.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.668Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$1.4kat 0.786Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
- +$907.52at 0.592Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$716.04at 0.599Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?
- +$586.37at 0.803Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:13 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $123.25 |
| 09-24 19:39 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $209.95 |
| 09-24 07:56 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $202.42 |
| 09-24 07:56 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8798791103 | $363.92 |
| 09-24 07:56 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $44.74 |
| 09-21 08:40 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.7071538462 | $45.97 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8841968833 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8836995418 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8526589356 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8467183807 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8485620594 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 08:34 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8297470766 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 08:33 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8312456073 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 17:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.695 | $208.50 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.43 | $444.90 |