PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KostyaDDD

0x4934b87b797da86247c7e5d826b1bf575ed35951

Realised P&L
$9.3k
Volume
$1.00M
Markets traded
1,031
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,031
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2000.265$530.00+$130.00
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0130.015$475.60+$64.02
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$148.95
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants0.4300.000$0.00$99.76
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks0.3700.000$0.00$99.90
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals0.4000.000$0.00$100.00
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$12.00
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Colorado Rockies0.3900.000$0.00$99.84
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$0.13
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$11.86
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox0.5600.000$0.00$99.68
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves · Washington Nationals0.4170.000$0.00$149.98
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$2.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 19:13Ipswich Town FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.2$1.00
09-03 15:35Como: Jay Clarke vs Pedro MartinezSELL0.56$229.60
09-03 09:21Plovdiv 3: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian SorgerBUY0.3$99.90
09-02 19:00San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5SELL0.54$108.00
09-02 06:32M15 Wuning: Miles Jones vs Maxim ShinBUY0.25$52.50
08-25 20:44Houston Astros vs. New York YankeesBUY0.58$99.76
08-25 20:43Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.54$99.90
08-24 17:11Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.49$99.96
08-24 17:10Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.56$99.68
08-24 17:09Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5BUY0.47$99.64
08-22 20:08Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.64$99.84
08-22 20:08Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.63$99.54
08-22 15:02Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5BUY0.49$11.33
08-21 20:01Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesBUY0.54$99.90
08-21 20:01San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.63$99.54