0x4930abdb086c12f8839bb3595db0970f11ba1228
- Realised P&L
- $-84.39
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $93.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.405 | $88.36 | −$31.64 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$104.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.23at 0.742Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 16:21 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5499999984 | $120.00 |
| 03-29 12:36 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | BUY | 0.7417116198 | $150.00 |
| 03-27 15:02 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0109999999 | $100.00 |
| 03-26 13:33 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |