0x4930331d680898018b2263ee425336fe05410fd4
0x4930331d680898018b2263ee425336fe05410fd4
- Realised P&L
- $-8.71
- Volume
- $442.05
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $65.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.185 | $13.88 | −$1.13 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? · No | 0.939 | 0.978 | $10.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.135 | $10.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? · No | 0.964 | 0.970 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.610 | $9.79 | −$3.21 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13? · No | 0.920 | 0.895 | $4.59 | −$0.13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.984 | $2.70 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 14? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.024 | $2.18 | −$7.82 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 13? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.013 | $1.35 | −$8.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.94at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 13?
- +$0.05at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 13?
- +$-10.65at 0.224Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.9639999985 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.72 |
| 10-13 08:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9779999992 | $4.75 |
| 10-13 05:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.987 | $2.71 |
| 10-13 05:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 14? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 05:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 05:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.8217821668 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 05:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 05:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.9391735266 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 05:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 05:32 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999888 | $13.00 |
| 10-13 05:27 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $15.00 |