PolyBot

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Traders

0x4930331d680898018b2263ee425336fe05410fd4

0x4930331d680898018b2263ee425336fe05410fd4

Realised P&L
$-8.71
Volume
$442.05
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$65.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2000.185$13.88−$1.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? · No0.9390.978$10.41+$0.41
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? · Yes0.1300.135$10.38+$0.38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14? · No0.9640.970$10.06+$0.06
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? · No0.8100.610$9.79−$3.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13? · No0.9200.895$4.59−$0.13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19? · Yes0.9870.984$2.70−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 14? · Yes0.1100.024$2.18−$7.82
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 13? · Yes0.1000.013$1.35−$8.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 16:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?BUY0.9639999985$10.00
10-13 08:27Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 13?BUY0.92$4.72
10-13 08:27Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 13?BUY0.9779999992$4.75
10-13 05:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 19?BUY0.987$2.71
10-13 05:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 14?BUY0.1099999999$10.00
10-13 05:56Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
10-13 05:51Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.8217821668$10.00
10-13 05:51Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 13?BUY0.2099999983$10.00
10-13 05:49Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13?BUY0.9391735266$10.00
10-13 05:47Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 13?BUY0.1$10.00
10-13 05:32Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?BUY0.8099999888$13.00
10-13 05:27Will T1 win Worlds 2026?BUY0.2$15.00