Wcmessi
0x492ad1622dfd14485254205f213d1c3b985a46ae
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $175.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Air Force (-3.5) · Air Force | 0.459 | 0.445 | $141.08 | −$4.58 |
| Spread: SMU (-21.5) · Boston College | 0.500 | 0.515 | $29.87 | +$0.87 |
| Spread: Montana State (-14.5) · Montana State | 0.500 | 0.390 | $3.90 | −$1.10 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-3.5) · Virginia Tech | 0.387 | 0.001 | $0.57 | −$444.26 |
| Spread: Penn State (-3.5) · Penn State | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.18 | −$149.82 |
| W15 Belem: Astra Sharma vs Paola Lopez · Astra Sharma | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.45 |
| Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.75 |
| Notre Dame vs. Purdue · Purdue | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$115.10 |
| Fresno State vs. USC · Fresno State | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$123.24 |
| Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5) · Las Vegas Aces | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) · Steelers | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.95 |
| Toledo vs. Michigan State · Toledo | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) · Titans | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$269.67 |
| West Georgia vs. Kennesaw State · West Georgia | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.99 |
| Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5) · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$408.51at 0.490Vikings vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
- +$380.52at 0.518New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5
- +$299.38at 0.230Spread: Vikings (-3.5)
- +$290.92at 0.330Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5
- +$266.15at 0.473Spread: Georgia State (-10.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:50 | Spread: Virginia Tech (-3.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 10-02 22:50 | Spread: Virginia Tech (-3.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-26 17:54 | Notre Dame vs. Purdue | BUY | 0.0394727447 | $30.93 |
| 09-26 12:53 | Spread: Georgia State (-10.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $7.52 |
| 09-20 15:55 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 09-20 15:55 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 09-20 03:50 | Spread: KC (-5.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $6.98 |
| 09-20 03:41 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.23 | $14.95 |
| 09-10 14:20 | W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy): Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Lourdes Ayala | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 09-10 11:34 | W15 Pilar (moved from San Salvador de Jujuy): Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez vs Lourdes Ayala | BUY | 0.66 | $16.50 |
| 08-23 22:20 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.16 | $2.56 |
| 08-23 22:20 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.16 | $2.56 |
| 08-22 22:01 | Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.25 | $2.25 |
| 08-22 21:12 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-19 12:55 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $2.96 |