0x492a6f3c0a5500851e74799d9ec86f4065c950eb
0x492a6f3c0a5500851e74799d9ec86f4065c950eb
- Realised P&L
- $-54.83
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia to score first vs. Spain? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Czechia to score first vs. England? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Scotland to score first vs. Switzerland? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.79at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$0.89at 0.855Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$0.21at 0.960Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29?
- +$-2.15at 0.291UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$-5.31at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 14:36 | Scotland to score first vs. Switzerland? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Croatia to score first vs. Spain? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 14:27 | Czechia to score first vs. England? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 14:26 | Will Senegal win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 18:05 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.0699999931 | $9.00 |
| 08-23 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 21:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8118811736 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 21:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 21:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $8.00 |
| 08-16 01:32 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 14:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2674999907 | $20.00 |