PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4929d4C1d4dD1abffA0B8301A80c69c9805Df37a-1782676641165

0x4929d4c1d4dd1abffa0b8301a80c69c9805df37a

Realised P&L
$-4.3k
Volume
$94.0k
Markets traded
499
Open portfolio
$611.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded499
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4420.465$157.71+$7.71
Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2360.250$137.59+$7.59
Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7100.725$102.11+$2.11
Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.305$98.39−$1.61
Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5400.550$50.93+$0.93
Hungary vs. Ukraine: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.6700.670$20.00+$0.00
Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in Second Half · Yes0.3200.595$18.59+$8.59
Exact Score: Hungary 2 - 2 Ukraine? · Yes0.0580.064$8.72+$0.72
Exact Score: Hungary 1 - 2 Ukraine? · Yes0.0900.080$4.44−$0.56
Exact Score: Hungary 0 - 2 Ukraine? · Yes0.0580.062$3.21+$0.21
Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.1800.175$2.92−$0.08
Exact Score: Hungary 0 - 0 Ukraine? · Yes0.0970.085$2.63−$0.36
Exact Score: Hungary 2 - 0 Ukraine? · Yes0.0700.075$2.14+$0.14
Exact Score: Hungary 3 - 0 Ukraine? · Yes0.0250.024$1.88−$0.12
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to Advance · FK Dynamo Kyiv0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 17:44Exact Score: Hungary 0 - 0 Ukraine?BUY0.0967741935$3.00
09-25 17:39Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5BUY0.24$30.00
09-25 17:38Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 2.5BUY0.4399999986$50.00
09-25 17:37Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5BUY0.709999998$100.00
09-25 17:30Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBUY0.32$10.00
09-25 17:29Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.1799999964$3.00
09-25 17:29Hungary vs. Ukraine: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.669999995$20.00
09-25 17:28Exact Score: Hungary 2 - 2 Ukraine?BUY0.0589999996$3.00
09-25 17:27Exact Score: Hungary 3 - 0 Ukraine?BUY0.025$2.00
09-25 17:27Exact Score: Hungary 1 - 2 Ukraine?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-25 17:27Exact Score: Hungary 2 - 0 Ukraine?BUY0.069999999$2.00
09-25 17:26Exact Score: Hungary 0 - 2 Ukraine?BUY0.0579999999$3.00
09-25 17:26Exact Score: Hungary 2 - 2 Ukraine?BUY0.0577689237$5.00
09-25 17:24Hungary vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999976$50.00
09-25 17:22Hungary vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5BUY0.2351051114$100.00