playplay888
0x492918b1682a34ae54e88179c485dc6d5afa3e37
- Realised P&L
- $364.08
- Volume
- $58.3k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $98.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$180.46at 0.640Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
- +$139.92at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$101.33at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$83.52at 0.025Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$83.25at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 01:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 01:46 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $78.31 |
| 08-20 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $0.01 |
| 08-20 07:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $71.50 |
| 08-20 07:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5079833719 | $98.24 |
| 08-20 07:14 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $6.00 |
| 08-20 07:14 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $23.58 |
| 08-20 07:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.73 | $70.19 |
| 08-20 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $3.97 |
| 08-20 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8465292291 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.773662158 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999991 | $20.00 |