PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

playplay888

0x492918b1682a34ae54e88179c485dc6d5afa3e37

Realised P&L
$876.97
Volume
$38.9k
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$212.64

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2300.325$35.30+$10.30
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.041$26.17+$19.06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.345$18.15$1.85
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.5300.325$15.33$9.67
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.5300.265$15.00$15.00
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0270.036$13.60+$3.60
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0170.019$11.63+$1.63
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.029$10.68+$0.68
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.415$9.88$0.12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5201.000$9.61+$4.61
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0160.013$7.78$2.22
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0120.009$7.08$2.92
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1500.075$5.00$5.00
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$4.72$0.28
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1500.065$4.33$5.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4199999899$10.00
08-01 07:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5299999972$30.00
08-01 07:13Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.04$10.52
08-01 06:41Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.59$61.99
07-29 15:03Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.142$94.67
07-25 11:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7451557369$100.00
07-23 07:23Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
07-23 02:35Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
07-23 02:35Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-23 02:02Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2301495972$25.00
07-23 02:01Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
07-22 07:54NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
07-21 12:07Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-21 12:06Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-21 11:40US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00