PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

playplay888

0x492918b1682a34ae54e88179c485dc6d5afa3e37

Realised P&L
$364.08
Volume
$58.3k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$98.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0110.029$18.41+$11.31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.305$16.05$3.95
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0280.029$10.32+$0.32
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0170.017$9.84$0.16
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0270.022$8.39$1.61
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0160.011$6.53$3.47
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0120.007$6.25$3.75
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0150.007$5.00$5.00
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · No0.1320.052$3.95$6.05
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.060$3.33$1.67
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1500.045$3.00$7.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.2700.065$2.41$7.59
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? · Yes0.3300.340$2.06+$0.06
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0300.004$1.51$8.49
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · Yes0.2300.028$0.61$4.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 01:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-14 01:46Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.017$2.00
08-20 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.65$78.31
08-20 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.8299999993$100.00
08-20 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.91$0.01
08-20 07:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.55$71.50
08-20 07:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.5079833719$98.24
08-20 07:14Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.09$6.00
08-20 07:14Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.5$23.58
08-20 07:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.73$70.19
08-20 07:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSELL0.01$3.97
08-20 07:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.8465292291$100.00
08-20 07:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.773662158$100.00
08-20 07:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.7899999997$100.00
08-20 07:09Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.8599999991$20.00