PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4927c94BAB53EDAE07C186D23b3d29daF1FD0F32-1773601324870

0x4927c94bab53edae07c186d23b3d29daf1fd0f32

Realised P&L
$-265.50
Volume
$182.3k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$41.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.3940.380$29.11$1.06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4370.042$7.59$72.41
Epic Games IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1340.091$3.39$1.61
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes0.1770.003$0.92$64.32
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$8.00
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.3860.000$0.00$30.00
Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine? · No0.0800.000$0.00$1.04
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner · Nigma Galaxy0.5480.000$0.00$10.81
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$8.00
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$3.00
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.1590.000$0.00$95.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25? · No0.0750.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$75.35
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 21:41Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
08-20 17:51Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 in August?SELL0.0151393317$2.96
08-20 17:51Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in August?SELL0.012$0.36
08-20 17:51Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in August?SELL0.08$1.60
08-14 19:00Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 in August?BUY0.07$13.70
08-12 06:48Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?SELL0.39$14.26
08-07 11:43Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?BUY0.77$21.56
08-07 11:40Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by August 31?BUY0.8399999989$30.00
08-07 11:39Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?BUY0.81$29.16
08-07 11:39Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?BUY0.8$0.80
08-07 11:36Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 in August?BUY0.264$10.56
08-07 11:36Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in August?BUY0.53$10.60
08-07 11:36Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in August?BUY0.3$9.00
08-07 11:34Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in August?BUY0.72$3.60
08-07 08:38Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?BUY0.2734909017$10.00