0x4927c94BAB53EDAE07C186D23b3d29daF1FD0F32-1773601324870
0x4927c94bab53edae07c186d23b3d29daf1fd0f32
- Realised P&L
- $-158.62
- Volume
- $181.4k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $161.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.62at 0.621Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
- +$64.17at 0.238Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
- +$55.83at 0.410Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?
- +$40.11at 0.333Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
- +$39.76at 0.349Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 21:42 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | BUY | 0.7278715233 | $117.50 |
| 07-15 16:11 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July? | BUY | 0.9069074476 | $108.00 |
| 07-14 20:25 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.193 | $19.90 |
| 07-14 20:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.27 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | SELL | 0.21 | $22.40 |
| 07-14 20:21 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | SELL | 0.09 | $10.26 |
| 07-14 19:58 | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.149999993 | $16.00 |
| 07-14 19:58 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.90 |
| 07-14 18:52 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.77 |
| 07-14 18:47 | Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.069999992 | $8.00 |
| 07-14 18:46 | Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0259999916 | $3.00 |
| 07-14 18:46 | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.1099999919 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 18:46 | Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.069999992 | $8.00 |
| 07-14 18:46 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 23:07 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? | BUY | 0.001 | $54.49 |