PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4927c94BAB53EDAE07C186D23b3d29daF1FD0F32-1773601324870

0x4927c94bab53edae07c186d23b3d29daf1fd0f32

Realised P&L
$-158.62
Volume
$181.4k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$161.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? · Yes0.7280.710$114.62$2.88
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4370.185$33.85$46.15
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes0.1770.027$9.97$55.27
Epic Games IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1340.086$3.22$1.78
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$8.00
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.3860.000$0.00$30.00
Will Bernie say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Maine? · No0.0800.000$0.00$1.04
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner · Nigma Galaxy0.5500.000$0.00$10.85
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$8.00
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$3.00
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.1590.000$0.00$95.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25? · No0.0750.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$75.43
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:42Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?BUY0.7278715233$117.50
07-15 16:11Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $150 end of July?BUY0.9069074476$108.00
07-14 20:25Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.193$19.90
07-14 20:25Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.04$4.27
07-14 20:22Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?SELL0.21$22.40
07-14 20:21Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?SELL0.09$10.26
07-14 19:58Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?BUY0.149999993$16.00
07-14 19:58Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?SELL0.1$10.90
07-14 18:52Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?SELL0.07$7.77
07-14 18:47Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?BUY0.069999992$8.00
07-14 18:46Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0259999916$3.00
07-14 18:46Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?BUY0.1099999919$12.00
07-14 18:46Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?BUY0.069999992$8.00
07-14 18:46Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
07-11 23:07Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?BUY0.001$54.49