aviknows
0x49279a52e761aa3da129caf5d482f31099ec22a0
- Realised P&L
- $739.54
- Volume
- $173.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $420.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.085 | $420.53 | −$419.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.580Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$1.6kat 0.556Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$1.3kat 0.130US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.184US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$959.55at 0.381US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 22:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $772.54 |
| 06-14 21:14 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.109 | $1.20 |
| 06-14 21:13 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | SELL | 0.0950111223 | $93.97 |
| 06-14 21:09 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | SELL | 0.118 | $3.40 |
| 06-14 18:42 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? | BUY | 0.5456544172 | $6.0k |
| 06-14 18:34 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.383992856 | $1000.00 |
| 06-14 18:33 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.377213145 | $1000.00 |
| 06-08 04:03 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.6335608357 | $77.33 |
| 06-08 03:47 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.44 | $161.10 |
| 06-07 22:02 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.32 | $162.59 |
| 06-07 21:44 | Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.9515346823 | $2.4k |
| 06-07 20:01 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.6499999999 | $947.00 |
| 06-07 19:19 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.6648065927 | $445.31 |
| 06-07 19:11 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.6002025929 | $1000.00 |
| 06-07 19:11 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.4890425823 | $1000.00 |