0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
0x492442eab586f242b53bda933fd5de859c8a3782
- Realised P&L
- $-4.32M
- Volume
- $508.98M
- Markets traded
- 1,738
- Open portfolio
- $48.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,738
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah vs. Flyers · Utah | 0.610 | 0.595 | $48.3k | −$1.2k |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) · Wild | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.3k |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.2k |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) · Sabres | 0.376 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.9k |
| Senators vs. Kings · Senators | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$208.0k |
| Islanders vs. Wild · Wild | 0.657 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.2k |
| Red Wings vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$473.3kat 0.454Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
- +$457.9kat 0.396Nuggets vs. Magic
- +$418.3kat 0.439Mavericks vs. Kings
- +$413.6kat 0.498Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)
- +$405.3kat 0.472Penguins vs. Flyers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:38 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.61 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 15:37 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.61 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 15:37 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.61 | $39.5k |
| 11-01 15:37 | Utah vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.61 | $6.0k |
| 10-31 16:14 | Blackhawks vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4786736576 | $9.0k |
| 10-30 02:00 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $38.6k |
| 10-30 01:59 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $24.1k |
| 10-30 01:59 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $18.9k |
| 10-30 01:56 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $7.8k |
| 10-30 01:56 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $33.1k |
| 10-30 01:55 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.55 | $47.1k |
| 10-30 01:54 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.54 | $112.32 |
| 10-30 01:54 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.54 | $38.4k |
| 10-30 01:43 | Sabres vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.59 | $27.4k |
| 10-30 01:43 | Spread: Sabres (-1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $11.1k |