Pearlf
0x49242962b20d19f781151c17b4d28ea3358fb716
- Realised P&L
- $-53.78
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $103.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.760 | 0.955 | $83.08 | +$16.96 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $19.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.05 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? · No | 0.512 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.19 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.08 |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) · Colts | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.72 |
| Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.05 |
| Livesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlek · Maria Timofeeva | 0.407 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.56at 0.500Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$321.17at 0.500Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$147.30at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
- +$146.62at 0.500Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$45.40at 0.296Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:21 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.998 | $641.35 |
| 10-13 12:21 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 10-13 12:20 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.999 | $642.00 |
| 10-13 12:20 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $647.34 |
| 10-13 12:19 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.65 |
| 10-13 12:19 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $221.00 |
| 10-13 12:19 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.996 | $161.83 |
| 10-13 12:19 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $427.00 |
| 10-13 12:18 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.996 | $485.51 |
| 10-13 12:18 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.00 |
| 10-13 12:18 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.997 | $262.00 |
| 10-13 12:18 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $160.93 |
| 10-13 12:17 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.997 | $386.00 |
| 10-13 12:17 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $482.78 |
| 10-13 03:19 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.76 | $66.12 |