PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

heypresto

0x4923b7e2a487560b919a99fafc61fe0769b2adfc

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$128.0k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$34.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0530.026$21.01−$22.28
Will Iran target Egypt by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.033$10.89−$49.41
Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0610.030$2.13−$2.16
Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.019$0.51−$0.51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? · No0.0640.000$0.00−$91.20
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$273.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? · No0.0160.000$0.00−$201.55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$70.00
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.73
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$50.22
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$24.55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · No0.0460.000$0.00−$929.56
Iran leadership change by October 31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$263.97
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$47.67
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$102.06

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 01:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.014$0.98
10-25 07:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.1$80.00
10-25 04:32US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?SELL0.1$80.00
10-22 19:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.09$74.78
10-22 19:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.013$1.05
10-22 17:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?BUY0.1199999956$2.20
10-22 17:34US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?SELL0.1123744333$337.12
10-22 17:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.025$0.38
10-22 17:26US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?SELL0.12$17.20
10-22 17:25US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?SELL0.12$79.92
10-22 17:23US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.0268522637$5.50
10-22 07:35Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?SELL0.071$6.03
10-22 06:58US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.05$30.34
10-22 05:23Will Iran target Qatar by October 31, 2026?BUY0.062$9.37
10-22 05:23Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026?BUY0.06$41.39